Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers: crowd vs house
NBA · Wed Oct 21, 10:00 PM ET · House take 4.6%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.6%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors | 34.5% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 33.8% no-vig median | +0.7 pts |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 65.5% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 66.2% no-vig median | -0.7 pts |
Who's cheaper: Golden State Warriors to win
House no-vig fair: 33.8%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEBetRivers by 1.7¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetRivers | +190 (2.90) | 34.5¢ +190 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 35.0¢ + 1.14¢ fee | 36.1¢ +177 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 35¢ + 1.59¢ fee | 36.6¢ +173 |
Who's cheaper: Los Angeles Lakers to win
House no-vig fair: 66.2%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEFanDuel by 0.5¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEFanDuel | -200 (1.50) | 66.7¢ -200 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 66.0¢ + 1.12¢ fee | 67.1¢ -204 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 66¢ + 1.57¢ fee | 67.6¢ -208 |
House moneylines
| Book | Warriors | Lakers | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | +180 | -222 | 4.7% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | +190 | -238 | 4.9% |
| HOUSECaesars | +185 | -227 | 4.5% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +185 | -227 | 4.5% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | +168 | -200 | 4.0% |
| HOUSEFanatics | +180 | -222 | 4.7% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.