Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards: crowd vs house
NBA · Wed Oct 21, 7:00 PM ET · House take 4.4%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.4%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Bucks | 36.0% Kalshi mid | 36.5% no-vig median | -0.5 pts |
| Washington Wizards | 64.0% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 63.5% no-vig median | +0.5 pts |
Who's cheaper: Milwaukee Bucks to win
House no-vig fair: 36.5%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEBetRivers by 1.6¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDKalshi.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetRivers | +170 (2.70) | 37.0¢ +170 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 36.0¢ + 1.15¢ fee | 37.2¢ +169 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 37¢ + 1.63¢ fee | 38.6¢ +159 |
Who's cheaper: Washington Wizards to win
House no-vig fair: 63.5%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDKalshi by 0.2¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSEFanDuel.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDKalshi open | 64¢ + 1.61¢ fee | 65.6¢ -191 |
| HOUSEFanDuel | -192 (1.52) | 65.8¢ -192 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 65.0¢ + 1.14¢ fee | 66.1¢ -195 |
House moneylines
| Book | Bucks | Wizards | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | +165 | -200 | 4.4% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | +170 | -213 | 5.1% |
| HOUSECaesars | +162 | -196 | 4.4% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +164 | -196 | 4.1% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | +162 | -192 | 4.0% |
| HOUSEFanatics | +160 | -196 | 4.7% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.