Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls: crowd vs house
College Football · Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET · House take 4.4%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.4%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons | 38.2% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 38.6% no-vig median | -0.3 pts |
| Buffalo Bulls | 61.7% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 61.4% no-vig median | +0.3 pts |
Who's cheaper: Bowling Green Falcons to win
House no-vig fair: 38.6%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEDraftKings by 0.3¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEDraftKings | +154 (2.54) | 39.4¢ +154 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 39.0¢ + 0.71¢ fee | 39.7¢ +152 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 39¢ + 1.67¢ fee | 40.7¢ +146 |
Who's cheaper: Buffalo Bulls to win
House no-vig fair: 61.4%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEFanDuel by 0.8¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDKalshi.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEFanDuel | -169 (1.59) | 62.9¢ -169 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 62¢ + 1.65¢ fee | 63.6¢ -175 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 63.0¢ + 0.70¢ fee | 63.7¢ -175 |
House moneylines
| Book | Falcons | Bulls | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | +145 | -175 | 4.5% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | +145 | -182 | 5.3% |
| HOUSECaesars | +152 | -182 | 4.2% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +154 | -185 | 4.3% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | +140 | -169 | 4.6% |
| HOUSEFanatics | +150 | -179 | 4.1% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.