Duke Blue Devils vs Virginia Cavaliers: crowd vs house
College Football · Fri Oct 23, 7:00 PM ET · House take 4.6%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.6%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Blue Devils | 47.2% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 47.6% no-vig median | -0.3 pts |
| Virginia Cavaliers | 53.2% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 52.4% no-vig median | +0.8 pts |
Who's cheaper: Duke Blue Devils to win
House no-vig fair: 47.6%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDKalshi by 0.0¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDKalshi open | 47¢ + 1.74¢ fee (via NO) | 48.7¢ +105 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 48.0¢ + 0.75¢ fee | 48.7¢ +105 |
| HOUSECaesars | +105 (2.05) | 48.8¢ +105 |
Who's cheaper: Virginia Cavaliers to win
House no-vig fair: 52.4%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEFanDuel by 0.1¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDKalshi.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEFanDuel | -120 (1.83) | 54.6¢ -120 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 53¢ + 1.74¢ fee (via NO) | 54.7¢ -121 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 54.0¢ + 0.75¢ fee | 54.7¢ -121 |
House moneylines
| Book | Devils | Cavaliers | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | +100 | -120 | 4.6% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | +102 | -125 | 5.1% |
| HOUSECaesars | +105 | -123 | 4.0% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +102 | -122 | 4.5% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | +100 | -120 | 4.6% |
| HOUSEFanatics | +100 | -120 | 4.6% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.