Michigan State Spartans vs UCLA Bruins: crowd vs house
College Football · Sat Oct 24, 3:30 PM ET · House take 4.4%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.4%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State Spartans | 16.2% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 17.0% no-vig median | -0.8 pts |
| UCLA Bruins | 83.7% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 83.0% no-vig median | +0.8 pts |
Who's cheaper: Michigan State Spartans to win
House no-vig fair: 17.0%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEBetMGM by 0.0¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | +475 (5.75) | 17.4¢ +475 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 17.0¢ + 0.42¢ fee | 17.4¢ +474 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 17¢ + 0.99¢ fee | 18.0¢ +456 |
Who's cheaper: UCLA Bruins to win
House no-vig fair: 83.0%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDKalshi by 0.4¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDKalshi open | 84¢ + 0.94¢ fee | 84.9¢ -564 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 85.0¢ + 0.38¢ fee | 85.4¢ -584 |
| HOUSEDraftKings | -625 (1.16) | 86.2¢ -625 |
House moneylines
| Book | Spartans | Bruins | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | +475 | -625 | 3.6% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | +450 | -667 | 5.1% |
| HOUSECaesars | +450 | -625 | 4.4% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +455 | -625 | 4.2% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | +470 | -667 | 4.5% |
| HOUSEFanatics | +475 | -667 | 4.3% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.