San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons: crowd vs house
NFL · Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · House take 4.2%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.2%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers | 65.3% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 63.9% no-vig median | +1.4 pts |
| Atlanta Falcons | 34.8% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 36.1% no-vig median | -1.4 pts |
Who's cheaper: San Francisco 49ers to win
House no-vig fair: 63.9%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEFanDuel by 2.2¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDKalshi.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEFanDuel | -189 (1.53) | 65.4¢ -189 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 66¢ + 1.57¢ fee | 67.6¢ -208 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 67.0¢ + 0.66¢ fee | 67.7¢ -209 |
Who's cheaper: Atlanta Falcons to win
House no-vig fair: 36.1%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDKalshi by 0.4¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSEDraftKings.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDKalshi open | 35¢ + 1.59¢ fee | 36.6¢ +173 |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +170 (2.70) | 37.0¢ +170 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 37.0¢ + 0.70¢ fee | 37.7¢ +165 |
House moneylines
| Book | 49ers | Falcons | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | -200 | +165 | 4.4% |
| HOUSECaesars | -200 | +168 | 4.0% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | -204 | +170 | 4.2% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | -189 | +158 | 4.1% |
| HOUSEFanatics | -200 | +165 | 4.4% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.