Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers: crowd vs house
NFL · Sun Oct 25, 1:00 PM ET · House take 4.2%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.2%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 39.0% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 38.9% no-vig median | +0.1 pts |
| Carolina Panthers | 61.0% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 61.1% no-vig median | -0.1 pts |
Who's cheaper: Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win
House no-vig fair: 38.9%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEDraftKings by 1.3¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDKalshi.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEDraftKings | +154 (2.54) | 39.4¢ +154 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 39¢ + 1.67¢ fee | 40.7¢ +146 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 40.0¢ + 0.72¢ fee | 40.7¢ +146 |
Who's cheaper: Carolina Panthers to win
House no-vig fair: 61.1%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDPolymarket by 0.4¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSEBetMGM.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDPolymarket open | 61.0¢ + 0.71¢ fee | 61.7¢ -161 |
| HOUSEBetMGM | -164 (1.61) | 62.1¢ -164 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 62¢ + 1.65¢ fee | 63.6¢ -175 |
House moneylines
| Book | Buccaneers | Panthers | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | +140 | -164 | 3.8% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | +148 | -179 | 4.4% |
| HOUSECaesars | +145 | -172 | 4.1% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +154 | -185 | 4.3% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | +150 | -179 | 4.1% |
| HOUSEFanatics | +140 | -169 | 4.6% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.