Anaheim Ducks vs New York Islanders: crowd vs house
NHL · Tue Oct 20, 7:10 PM ET · House take 4.1%
Crowd vs House split
House take (median book margin): 4.1%. That is the vig you pay by betting at the house. Split = crowd price minus the house's no-vig fair price.
| Side | CROWD | HOUSE fair | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anaheim Ducks | 41.0% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 41.8% no-vig median | -0.8 pts |
| New York Islanders | 58.5% Polymarket + Kalshi mid | 58.2% no-vig median | +0.3 pts |
Who's cheaper: Anaheim Ducks to win
House no-vig fair: 41.8%. Cheapest after vig & fees: CROWDKalshi by 0.0¢ per $1 payout vs HOUSECaesars.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| CROWDKalshi open | 41¢ + 1.69¢ fee | 42.7¢ +134 |
| HOUSECaesars | +134 (2.34) | 42.7¢ +134 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 42.0¢ + 1.22¢ fee | 43.2¢ +131 |
Who's cheaper: New York Islanders to win
House no-vig fair: 58.2%. Cheapest after vig & fees: HOUSEBetMGM by 0.3¢ per $1 payout vs CROWDPolymarket.
| Venue | Quoted | All-in cost / $1 |
|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | -149 (1.67) | 59.9¢ -149 |
| CROWDPolymarket open | 59.0¢ + 1.21¢ fee | 60.2¢ -151 |
| CROWDKalshi open | 59¢ + 1.69¢ fee | 60.7¢ -154 |
House moneylines
| Book | Ducks | Islanders | House take |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOUSEBetMGM | +125 | -149 | 4.3% |
| HOUSEBetRivers | +130 | -154 | 4.1% |
| HOUSECaesars | +134 | -159 | 4.1% |
| HOUSEDraftKings | +130 | -154 | 4.1% |
| HOUSEFanDuel | +130 | -156 | 4.5% |
| HOUSEFanatics | +130 | -154 | 4.1% |
All-in cost = what you pay for a contract/bet that returns $1 if it wins, after Kalshi or Polymarket taker fees (the vig is already inside sportsbook prices). Lower is better. How we calculate this.
Last updated: Oct 20, 2026 1:20 AM ET. Prices move constantly; always check the live price at the venue.